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Inte troligt med ytterligare rally för de skandinaviska valutorna

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Skriv ut
Överordnad kategori: Finansnyheter
Träffar: 1960
De skandinaviska valutorna fortsatte sin nedgång på måndagen mot USD och JPY då den globala aktiemarknaden minskade kraftigt på oro att den ekonomiska återhämtningen kan vackla, detta ledde till en efterfrågan på säkra valutor. Dessutom så fanns det faktorer som förvärrade nedgången, som Japans felaktiga beräkningar på tillväxt samt en nedgång i kinesiska utländska direktinvesteringar som ytterligare minskade efterfrågan på valutor med hög avkastning.

Då de skandinaviska länderna är mycket beroende av export, särskilt råvaruexport, så kommer troligtvis en dämpad efterfrågan från Kina, bli förödande för de skandinaviska valutorna.

Dagens beslut av Swedbank, en av Sveriges fyra största bankerna, att få in 15 miljarder svenska kronor ($ 2,1 miljarder) i en nyemission för att stärka sin ståndpunkt, som har skadats av den globala ekonomiska krisen, bland annat genom exponering i Baltikum dämpade de svenska ekonomiska utsikterna.

Trots åtgärderna som vidtagits av svenska myndigheter för att ta itu med krisen, så förväntas det att Sveriges ekonomi kommer att krympa med 6% i år vilket tyder på att landets återhämtning är mycket beroende av export samt återhämtning utomlands. Med oljepriser som återigen siktar mot $ 65 prisnivån och då den kinesiska och amerikanska återhämtningen verkar vara långsammare än vad som tidigare beräknats, så är inte ytterliggare ett rally för de skandinaviska valutorna troligt på kort sikt.

Forexyard

De tekniska indikatorer som används är MACD, RSI samt Slow Stokastiska.
Punkt 1: MACD signaler att det finns mycket stöd för detta par och det verkar som om det kan fortsätta flyta inom neutralt territorium.
Punkt 2: RSI fortsätter att peka i en uppåtgående riktning. Detta visar att den hausseartade rörelsen fortfarande kan ha mer kraft.
Punkt 3: Stokastiska visar att ett hausseartat kors har nyligen bildats på grafen, vilket signalerar om att den uppåtgående rörelsen kommer att bestå.

Handla valuta

Publicerad: 2009-08-20

Källa: Forexyard ; Hämtad 20 augusti 2009

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