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Samhällsekonomi

Konjunkturbarometern i juni 2008

Uppgifter
Överordnad kategori: Finansnyheter
Träffar: 1418
Stämningsläget bland aktörerna i svensk ekonomi blev betydligt mer pessimistiskt i juni. Barometerindikatorn, som sammanfattar näringslivets och hushållens syn på ekonomin, föll från 97,9 i maj till 93,8 i juni. Stämningsläget är svagare än normalt och det var främst hushållens ökande pessimism samt utvecklingen inom tillverkningsindustrin som bidrog i negativ riktning.

För näringslivet låg konfidensindikatorn kvar på samma nivå som månaden innan. Konfidensindikatorerna för samtliga sektorer inom näringslivet, utom tillverkningsindustrin, bidrog positivt under juni. Tillverkningsindustrins konfidensindikator backade rejält och även indikatorn för hushållssektorn sjönk betydligt.

Stämningsläget i den svenska ekonomin är således fortfarande svagare än normalt. Den enda bransch som fortfarande uppger att läget är starkare än normalt är byggindustrin. Inom övriga delar av näringslivet och i hushållssektorn är läget svagare än normalt.

Företag: Sysselsättningstillväxten i näringslivet planar ut
Konfidensindikatorn för näringslivet var oförändrad mellan maj och juni och ligger således fortfarande något under medelvärdet. Alla sektorer utom tillverkningsindustrin bidrog i positiv riktning. Sysselsättningen i näringslivet har stigit ytterligare, men tillväxten var måttlig och klart lägre än under 2007. Planerna för de närmaste månaderna indikerar en i det närmaste oförändrad sysselsättning.

Hushåll: Hushållens förtroende för det ekonomiska läget sjönk rejält i juni
Hushållens konfidensindikator (CCI) föll med hela 9 enheter mellan maj och juni, till en nivå på -10,2. Junivärdet ligger långt under det historiska genomsnittet för CCI, vilket indikerar att stämningsläget bland hushållen nu är mycket svagare än normalt. Hushållen är särskilt pessimistiska om läget i svensk ekonomi och om arbetslöshetens utveckling. Men även synen på den egna ekonomin är betydligt mer negativ än tidigare. Hushållen uppfattar att inflationen just nu ligger på 4,4 procent och förväntar sig att inflationen på 12 månaders sikt kommer att uppgå till 3,3 procent.

Publicerad: 2008-06-25

Källa: www.konj.se ; Konjunkturinstitutet; Hämtad 25 juni 2008